Trends and Forecast Parameters of the Development of Trade Services in the Bukhara Region

Authors

  • Rakhmatov Akmal Samarkand Institute of Economics and Service, independent researcher

Keywords:

Trading services, trading turnover, regression equation, trend equation, optimistic forecast scenario, pessimistic forecast scenario

Abstract

The article analyzes the dynamics of the main economic indicators of the trade sector in the Bukhara region in 2012-2023. When assessing the prospective dynamics of indicators related to trade activity, trend Analysis of socio-economic phenomena was used, a generalized comprehensive forecast model was developed based on thematic forecasts of indicators obtained separately. Based on these models, issues of developing optimistic and pessimistic forecast scenarios for 2025-2027 of the development of the industry are covered.

References

1. Decision of the Cabinet of Ministers of the Republic of Uzbekistan “ on measures to further develop the tourism sector in the Bukhara region in 2022-2026” No. 543 of September 28, 2022

2. Resolution of the Minister of the Republic of Uzbekistan dated December 29, 2023 No. 719 "Uzbekistan-2030" strategy of the Bukhara region on the quality and timeliness of measures".

3. Dai, C. A method of forecasting trade export volume based on back-propagation neural network. Neural Comput & Applic 35, 8775–8784 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00521-022-07693-5

4. Molchanov Nikolay Nikolaevich, Petsoldt Kerstin. Choosing a method for forecasting the sales volume of a small business // Economics and management. 2019. №4 (162). https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/vybor-metoda-prognozirovaniya-obema-prodazh-malogo-predpriyatiya

5. Konoshenko L. A. Forecasting the main parameters of a trade organization / / PSE. 2012. No.2. https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/prognozirovanie-osnovnyh-parametrov-torgovoy-organizatsii

6. Жўраев Ф.Д. Қишлоқ хўжалик маҳсулотлари ишлаб чиқаришда ҳудуднинг базавий салоҳиятини аниқлаш жараёнини эконометрик моделлаштириш (Қашқадарё вилояти мисолида). // “Бизнес-эксперт” иқтисодий илмий-амалий журнал. 8(164)-сон. – Т., 2021 йил. 52-58-б.

7. G'afforov, J. (2024). Qashqadaryo viloyati hududida ishsizlikning kelib chiqish sabablari, jamiyatga ta’siri, yechimlari va mintaqada ishsizlik darajasining prognoz ko‘rsatgichlari. Iqtisodiy Taraqqiyot Va Tahlil, 2(5), 89–96. https://doi.org/10.60078/2992-877X-2024-vol2-iss5-pp89-96

8. Rakhimov, A. (2022). The residents of Yashash and in general influenced the development of the ichki and Enosh taramoklaring service in Bakhalash (Kashkadarya region of the Missolid region). Iqtisodiyot Va taʼlim, 23(4), 397–402. https://doi.org/10.55439/ECED/vol23_iss4/a613

9. Makhmatkulov, G. (2022). The trade community provides services for the innovative development of competence in order to develop the trend model of mesonlar (Kashkadarya region, Missolid region). Iqtisodiyot Va taʼlim, 23(4), 381–386. https://doi.org/10.55439/ECED/vol23_iss4/a610

10. Abdullaev. (2011). The socio-economic perspective is based on a wide range of forecasting styles. Economics and Innovative Technologies, (2), 13-31. https://inlibrary.uz/index.php/economics_and_innovative/article/view/7713

11. Dosmuratova.K. Forecasts of kursatkichlarin kursatkishlarin of the Republic of Kazakhstan for 2030. (2024). Scientific Journal of Actuarial Finance and Accounting, 4(04), 439-448. https://doi.org/10.55439/AFA/vol4_iss04/255

12. Statistical data of the Bukhara region

Published

2024-10-03

How to Cite

Akmal, R. (2024). Trends and Forecast Parameters of the Development of Trade Services in the Bukhara Region. EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF BUSINESS STARTUPS AND OPEN SOCIETY, 4(10), 1–6. Retrieved from http://inovatus.es/index.php/ejbsos/article/view/4124

Similar Articles

<< < 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 > >> 

You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.